Dallas is playing good basketball at the right time. If the WNBA playoffs were to begin tonight, the Wings would be the fourth seed in the playoffs and likely face the Atlanta Dream in round one.
Dallas is currently four games from third-seed Connecticut Suns. With eight regular-season games remaining before the playoffs, a victory over Minnesota would be a huge step in making that happen.
Wings Remaining Schedule
Dallas has a difficult task with four of their final eight against potential playoff teams, including a home contest with No. 2 seed New York Liberty. The Wings improved their away record to 8-8 after soundly defeating the Washington Mystics, which is good as four of their remaining games are away from Dallas, including a Tuesday night encounter with the Lynx.
Red Hot Arike Ogunbowale
Ogunbowale is 5th in the WNBA in scoring and has been red hot, scoring in double digits in 31 of her 32 games and has scored 25+ in a dozen games this season. She leads Dallas in scoring, but the Wings boast six players scoring in double digits, and the Lady Wings have scored 90 points or more in three of their previous five contests.
— Bally Sports Southwest (@BallySportsSW) August 20, 2023
Defense Needs Improvement
Dallas would be a WNBA contender, but they surrender the 10th most points per game this season but allow the third-fewest points on the road. Still, allowing 82.5 points per game is too many points but their +4 point differential on the road is why they are the fourth seed.
Wings Face Minnesota Tuesday Night
Dallas is riding a three-game winning streak into Tuesday night’s matchup with Minnesota. The Wings are 2-0 against the Lynx, including a 40-point blowout victory in this very barn in early July.
Minnesota is currently the No. 6 seed and is three games behind Dallas for second place in the WNBA Western Conference standings. The Lynx have dropped four of their past six contests and are 6-10 at Target Center this season.
Losing point guard Lindsey Allen with a broken hand earlier this month has hurt Minnesota more than anything else. Allen is Minnesota’s top playmaker and an above-average defender– the Lynx have struggled since then, leaving forward Diamond Miller as the top Lynx playmaker.
Forward Napheesa Collier leads the Lynx in scoring and caroms but has struggled and failed to score 21 or more in three of her past five. Guard Kayla McBride has been riding a hot hand, scoring 13+ in four of her past five, and is shooting 34% from downtown.
Dallas Wings Vs. Minnesota Lynx Betting Analysis
NOTE: Sports betting in Texas is prohibited, and the following advice is for entertainment purposes only.
I will be wagering in-game or once the game begins, and this is my betting plan for Tuesday night’s matchup between Dallas and Minnesota.
Dallas should win this game, but a straight-up wager will likely cost you $250 to win $100, and that is too much juice to pay for a .500 road team.
The past two matchups eclipsed the 170-point mark, but this game could be different. Not having Allen on the floor hurts the Minnesota offense, and Dallas plays tight defense on the road, so maybe we’re looking at about 165 points Tuesday. I would play Over 164+ points for this matchup.
The best bet for this game is to look for Dallas -6 points or better and not pay more than -115 odds. The Wings have been hot on the road and have scored 90+ in three of their last five. They beat the Lynx by 40 in their barn in July, but I expect Minnesota to fight much harder, and the outcome will be by 10 points or less this time around.
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