The Big 12’s only nationally ranked teams will square off at 12:00 p.m. at the Cotton Bowl located in Dallas, Texas.
Who will leave the Cotton Bowl undefeated? Find out when we offer our prediction for Saturday’s Oklahoma vs. Texas Big 12 matchup on Saturday, October 7, 2023.
Sooners 5-0 Start
Oklahoma enters this matchup with a 5-0 record and demolished Iowa State last week 50-20. The Sooners have won seven of their previous 10 Red River Rivalry matchups with an ATS record of 3-7-0.
The Sooners are 5-0 ATS this season and boast the 3rd-best scoring offense in the country. Oklahoma QB Dillion Gabriel completes 75% of his passes for 1593 yards, 15 TDs with two interceptions, and has an additional 95 rushing yards with four TDs. He’s also benefitting from an O-Line allowing four sacks this season.
Five receivers boast 100+ receiving yards–wideout Nic Anderson leads the group with five TDs, and RBs Marcus Major and Tawee Walker have combined for 392 rushing yards and three scores.
Oklahoma allows the fewest points in the conference and has held each of its five opponents to 20 points or less. The Sooners’ 54 points surrendered their fewest points over the first five games of a season since 2009 with the country’s best-scoring defense.
Longhorns Dominate Kansas
Texas is 5-0 this season and waxed Kansas 40-14 last Saturday, but the Longhorns are 3-2 ATS this season. The Longhorns are 34-16-1 when they play Oklahoma as the undefeated side.
Quinn Ewers leads the 30th-best Longhorns offense. He’s connected on 66% of his passes this season for 1358 yards with 10 TDs and one pick. Ewers also has five rushing TDs and has five wideouts with 100+ receiving yards, and the nations third best rusher in RB Jonathon Brooks.
Texas has a strong defense ranked 12th in points allowed, and Kansas failed to convert a 3rd down last week against this unit. They are second in the Big 12 against the rush and 1st against the pass and have allowed just 30 points over their last three contests.
Oklahoma vs. Texas Best Bet
Note: A friendly reminder that sports betting in Texas is prohibited.
We’re laying the -6.5 and taking Texas to cover the spread, so my best bet is Texas -6.0 (-110) at DraftKings.
Oklahoma has really improved its defense, but they haven’t played against an offense like what they will see on Saturday. Ewers and his many weapons will wreak havoc on the Sooners’ defense, and Oklahoma won’t push around the Longhorns’ defense as they have done to others this season. Lay the -6.0 and roll with Texas to cover.
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